Expected Peak Demand Warning ⚠️ All WeekSituation Overview: As the hot weather continues, the PJM grid forecasts high daily electricity demand. The hot weather conditions are expected to drive demand levels, posing a threat to grid reliability. Understanding Peak Demand Days Coincident Peak DaysA coincident peak day is one of the five highest-demand days during the…
6-10 DAY AND 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK The forecasted extreme heat across the U.S. will mean a much higher demand and, consequentially, a lower injection. This will further erode our gas surplus for months, possibly bringing the NYMEX price back above $3.00 for the prompt month. NATURAL GAS STORAGE Last week’s injection of +74 was well below last…
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WEATHER: 6-10 DAY AND 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK Forecasts for scorching weather in late June and a severe Heat Dome covering the Southwest sent prices sharply upward last week. Pricing for July Natural Gas went from $2.53 on Tuesday the 6th to $2.97 on Sunday. EIA: NATURAL GAS STORAGE Last week’s storage report was still just above…
NATURAL GAS: EIA:NATURAL GAS STORAGE Last week was the first storage report in over a month with a higher injection than projected. Producers are bringing some assets online to prepare for a top 10 hot summer, and this production increase will help keep downward pressure on pricing. ELECTRICITY GENERATION SOURCES THE LAST TEN YEARS This…
6-10 DAY AND 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK Look for cooling demand to increase as a large heat wave moves across the U.S. in the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts. The entire country will see higher-than-normal temperatures except for a small area centered around Kentucky and stretching to the Atlantic, but even the Northeast and the Gulf Coast will…
NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION Natural Gas had another disappointing injection of only 70 Bcf for the week ending 5/10. Production again came in under 100 Bcf/d, and we have had lower injections than the five-year average in seven of the last eight weeks. However, we still have a great surplus of over 30% compared to the five-year average…
NATURAL GAS STORAGE NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION Natural Gas production remains weaker than in the past few months, with output below 100 Bcf/d. The number of working dry gas rigs has dropped to the lowest since January 2022 (102 rigs). As producers continue to shut down operations, the amount we inject will also drop, and the…